Solar Minimum Blues and More on the Solar Cycles papers
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Solar Minimum Blues and More on the Solar Cycles papers
http://milesmathis.com/solen.pdf
PAPER UPDATE, added 6/1/19, Solar Minimum Blues. I have added another update, bottom of p. 2, showing you how they continue to fudge data to answer me.
PAPER UPDATE, added 6/1/19, Solar Minimum Blues. I have added a paragraph about Lisa Upton and Space Systems Research Corporation.
NEW PAPER, added 5/30/19, More on the Solar Cycles. Where we find the current promotion isn't so much a stealing as a masking.
Miles' papers might have some competition with Professor Valentina Zharkova. NASA too is taking an aggressive perspective on what they are calling the "Eddy Minimum". Kind of surprised to see it.
Valentina Zharkova Breaks Her Silence and CONFIRMS “Super” Grand Solar Minimum
https://electroverse.net/professor-valentina-zharkova-breaks-her-silence-and-confirms-super-grand-solar-minimum/
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NASA Predicts Next Solar Cycle will be Lowest in 200 Years (Dalton Minimum Levels) + the Implications
June 18, 2019 Cap Allon
An approaching Grand Solar Minimum is gaining evermore support. Even NASA appears to be on-board, with their recent SC25 prediction — though, predictably, they stay clear of the implications.
NASA’s forecast for the next solar cycle (25) reveals it will be the weakest of the last 200 years.
The maximum of this next cycle — measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level — could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one.
The agency’s results show that the next cycle will start in 2020 and reach its maximum in 2025:
NASA prediction added by SACHA DOBLER from abruptearthchanges.com
The below is lifted from NASA’s official website (www.nasa.gov):
The new research was led by Irina Kitiashvili, a researcher with the Bay Area Environmental Research Institute at NASA’s Ames Research Center, in California’s Silicon Valley. It combined observations from two NASA space missions – the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and the Solar Dynamics Observatory – with data collected since 1976 from the ground-based National Solar Observatory.
One challenge for researchers working to predict the Sun’s activities is that scientists don’t yet completely understand the inner workings of our star. Plus, some factors that play out deep inside the Sun cannot be measured directly. They have to be estimated from measurements of related phenomena on the solar surface, like sunspots.
Kitiashvili’s method differs from other prediction tools in terms of the raw material for its forecast. Previously, researchers used the number of sunspots to represent indirectly the activity of the solar magnetic field. The new approach takes advantage of direct observations of magnetic fields emerging on the surface of the Sun – data which has only existed for the last four solar cycles.
Mathematically combining the data from the three sources of Sun observations with the estimates of its interior activity generated a forecast designed to be more reliable than using any of those sources alone.
In 2008 the researchers used this method to make their prediction, which was then put to the test as the current solar cycle unfolded over the last decade. It has performed well, with the forecast strength and timing of the solar maximum aligning closely with reality.
PAPER UPDATE, added 6/1/19, Solar Minimum Blues. I have added another update, bottom of p. 2, showing you how they continue to fudge data to answer me.
PAPER UPDATE, added 6/1/19, Solar Minimum Blues. I have added a paragraph about Lisa Upton and Space Systems Research Corporation.
NEW PAPER, added 5/30/19, More on the Solar Cycles. Where we find the current promotion isn't so much a stealing as a masking.
Miles' papers might have some competition with Professor Valentina Zharkova. NASA too is taking an aggressive perspective on what they are calling the "Eddy Minimum". Kind of surprised to see it.
Valentina Zharkova Breaks Her Silence and CONFIRMS “Super” Grand Solar Minimum
https://electroverse.net/professor-valentina-zharkova-breaks-her-silence-and-confirms-super-grand-solar-minimum/
---------------------
NASA Predicts Next Solar Cycle will be Lowest in 200 Years (Dalton Minimum Levels) + the Implications
June 18, 2019 Cap Allon
An approaching Grand Solar Minimum is gaining evermore support. Even NASA appears to be on-board, with their recent SC25 prediction — though, predictably, they stay clear of the implications.
NASA’s forecast for the next solar cycle (25) reveals it will be the weakest of the last 200 years.
The maximum of this next cycle — measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level — could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one.
The agency’s results show that the next cycle will start in 2020 and reach its maximum in 2025:
NASA prediction added by SACHA DOBLER from abruptearthchanges.com
The below is lifted from NASA’s official website (www.nasa.gov):
The new research was led by Irina Kitiashvili, a researcher with the Bay Area Environmental Research Institute at NASA’s Ames Research Center, in California’s Silicon Valley. It combined observations from two NASA space missions – the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory and the Solar Dynamics Observatory – with data collected since 1976 from the ground-based National Solar Observatory.
One challenge for researchers working to predict the Sun’s activities is that scientists don’t yet completely understand the inner workings of our star. Plus, some factors that play out deep inside the Sun cannot be measured directly. They have to be estimated from measurements of related phenomena on the solar surface, like sunspots.
Kitiashvili’s method differs from other prediction tools in terms of the raw material for its forecast. Previously, researchers used the number of sunspots to represent indirectly the activity of the solar magnetic field. The new approach takes advantage of direct observations of magnetic fields emerging on the surface of the Sun – data which has only existed for the last four solar cycles.
Mathematically combining the data from the three sources of Sun observations with the estimates of its interior activity generated a forecast designed to be more reliable than using any of those sources alone.
In 2008 the researchers used this method to make their prediction, which was then put to the test as the current solar cycle unfolded over the last decade. It has performed well, with the forecast strength and timing of the solar maximum aligning closely with reality.
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